U.S. Cotton Industry Awaits Results Of Port Worker Negotiations

MARY HIGHTOWER

JONESBORO, ARKANSAS

The nation’s cotton industry is holding its collective breath as the Sept. 30 contract negotiations deadline creeps closer to keep East Coast and Gulf of Mexico ports open.

“U.S. cotton growers are very much dependent on a fully functioning export market,” said Scott Stiles, an extension economics program associate for the University of Arkansas System Division of Agriculture. “For the 2024-25 marketing year, the U.S. Department of Agriculture projects that exports will account for 86 percent of U.S. cotton demand.”

Cotton harvesting has begun across the Cotton Belt and is about 7 percent complete in Arkansas, according to Monday’s Crop Report from National Agricultural Statistics Service.

The 85,000-member International Longshoremen’s Association has said it would go on strike on Oct. 1 if a new contract is not reached. A strike would bring to a halt any cargo-handling operations at ports along the U.S. East and Gulf coasts, including the ports of Houston and New Orleans. Should negotiations fail, this would be the first strike against East and Gulf coast ports since 1977.

The National Cotton Council joined 177 other organizations in a letter to President Biden urging the United States Maritime Alliance and ILA to keep talking for as long as needed to prevent a work stoppage. The letter also urges the Biden administration to “to utilize every authority at its disposal to ensure the continuing flow of goods and avoid undue harm to American consumers and the nation’s economy.”

The potential port strike would not affect operations on the West Coast, where port workers are represented by a different union, which reached a contract last year.

West Coast handles most cotton

According to the USDA, “five ports handle 92 percent of U.S. cotton exports,” Stiles said. “These percentages will vary year-to-year depending on who's buying the most cotton.”

Looking at a five-year average, Los Angeles/Long Beach handled the most cotton at 41 percent. Savannah, Georgia, was second at 30 percent; followed by Houston at 14 percent; Charleston, South Carolina, at 4 percent; and Norfolk, Virginia, at 3 percent.

The Port of Laredo, Texas, which has one rail bridge and four vehicle bridges, handles about 5 percent of U.S. cotton exports, “but that would be cotton moving by rail and truck into Mexico,” Stiles said.

Savannah has gained a larger share of the cotton exports, with about 25 percent a decade ago to 37 percent in the 2023-24 marketing year, Stiles said.

“In recent years, U.S. cotton sales to Pakistan have increased and the country was the second largest buyer of U.S. cotton last year,” he said. “Turkey was the fourth-largest buyer. The East Coast ports have been the preferred origins for U.S. cotton moving to these two destinations.” 

Top markets

“Over the past five years, the top five export markets for U.S. cotton have been China, Vietnam, Pakistan, Turkey and Bangladesh,” he said.

Los Angeles/Long Beach handles cotton that's largely going to China, Vietnam, Pakistan, India, and Indonesia; primarily southeast Asia.

Consistently, the top destination for cotton moving out of Houston, Savannah, Norfolk, and Charleston is either Turkey or Pakistan, with lower volumes going to China, Vietnam, Bangladesh and other Asian buyers.  

Some cotton is exported to Central America, through New Orleans and Mobile, Alabama.

“Each of those ports account for 1 percent of total cotton exports,” Stiles said.

A port strike would affect more than cotton. The U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Federal Grain Inspection Services said 57 percent of U.S. soybean exports and 47 percent of corn exports have been shipped out of New Orleans in the current marketing year. The Mississippi River is also important for the movement of fertilizer. Industry sources estimate about 33 percent of urea and diammonium phosphate moves up the Mississippi River from the Gulf of Mexico.  ∆

MARY HIGHTOWER: University of Arkansas